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Prelims2 Featherweight

Godofredo Pepey vs Noad Lahat

UFC Fight Night: Shogun vs Henderson 2 ·Ginasio Nelio Dias
Previous fight

Statlab take

baseline
Edge Confidence: High
Godofredo Pepey
Noad Lahat
58% 42%
Why
74"
Reach
Δ 4"
69"
27
Age
Δ 3y
30
L2
Current streak
—
4
UFC fights in our DB
0

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 1
Pepey: 5 sig / 0 TD · Lahat: 11 sig / 0 TD
Godofredo Pepey
Noad Lahat
28
Sig strikes landed
35
60
Sig strikes attempted
59
46
Total strikes landed
55
1.3
Takedowns landed
1.0
3.1
Takedowns attempted
2.3
0.10
Knockdowns
0.20
167s
Control time
133s
Method
Decision
49%
KO/TKO
30%
Submission
21%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
L2

Godofredo Pepey

13-7
Career record
Height
67"
Reach
74"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
27
In our database 4 fights · 1-3
Last 4
L UFC Fight Night: Belfort vs Hen…
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L UFC on FUEL TV: Nogueira vs. We…
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W UFC on FX: Belfort vs Bisping
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L UFC 147: Silva vs Franklin 2
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Blue corner

Noad Lahat

"Neo"
0-0
Career record
Height
69"
Reach
69"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
30