Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Jordan Mein
Hernani Perpetuo
75%
25%
Why
24
Age
Δ 4y
29
L1
Current streak
—
2
UFC fights in our DB
0
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Split · Round 3
Mein: 46 sig / 4 TD ·
Perpetuo: 21 sig / 0 TD
Jordan Mein
Hernani Perpetuo
35
Sig strikes landed
37
80
Sig strikes attempted
75
48
Total strikes landed
51
0.7
Takedowns landed
1.0
1.6
Takedowns attempted
3.0
0.40
Knockdowns
0.20
94s
Control time
138s
Method
Decision
52%
KO/TKO
34%
Submission
14%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L1
Jordan Mein
"Young Gun"
31-13
Career record
Height
72"
Reach
73"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
25
In our database
2 fights · 1-1
Last 2
L
UFC on FOX: Henderson vs Melend…
—
W
UFC 158: St-Pierre vs Diaz
—
Blue corner
Hernani Perpetuo
0-0
Career record
Height
72"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
29