Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Miesha Tate
Liz Carmouche
68%
32%
Why
65"
Reach
Δ 1"
66"
28
Age
Δ 2y
30
20-11
Career record
Δ 3 pp
13-8
L2
Current streak
L1
2
UFC fights in our DB
3
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Tate: 27 sig / 1 TD ·
Carmouche: 18 sig / 5 TD
Miesha Tate
Liz Carmouche
28
Sig strikes landed
32
55
Sig strikes attempted
57
62
Total strikes landed
65
1.8
Takedowns landed
1.2
3.3
Takedowns attempted
2.8
0.20
Knockdowns
0.10
217s
Control time
172s
Method
Decision
38%
KO/TKO
20%
Submission
42%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L2
Miesha Tate
"Cupcake"
20-11
Career record
Height
66"
Reach
65"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
28
In our database
2 fights · 0-2
Last 2
L
UFC 168: Weidman vs Silva 2
—
L
The Ultimate Fighter: Team Jone…
—
Blue corner
L1
Liz Carmouche
"Girlrilla"
13-8
Career record
Height
66"
Reach
66"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
30
In our database
3 fights · 1-2
Last 3
L
UFC Fight Night: Fight for the …
—
W
UFC on FOX: Johnson vs Moraga
—
L
UFC 157: Rousey vs Carmouche
—