Statlab take
baseline
Edge
Confidence: High
Fabricio Werdum
Travis Browne
61%
39%
Why
77"
Reach
Δ 2"
79"
37
Age
Δ 5y
32
25-9-1
Career record
Δ 1 pp
19-7-1
W3
Current streak
W3
3
UFC fights in our DB
9
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 5
Werdum: 121 sig / 2 TD ·
Browne: 60 sig / 0 TD
Fabricio Werdum
Travis Browne
33
Sig strikes landed
27
55
Sig strikes attempted
71
55
Total strikes landed
36
0.3
Takedowns landed
0.6
2.4
Takedowns attempted
1.6
0.20
Knockdowns
0.20
77s
Control time
82s
Method
Decision
27%
KO/TKO
55%
Submission
18%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W3
Fabricio Werdum
"Vai Cavalo"
25-9-1
Career record
Height
76"
Reach
77"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
37
In our database
3 fights · 3-0
Last 3
W
UFC on FUEL TV: Nogueira vs. We…
—
W
UFC 147: Silva vs Franklin 2
—
W
UFC 143: Diaz vs Condit
—
Blue corner
W3
Travis Browne
"Hapa"
19-7-1
Career record
Height
78"
Reach
79"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
32
In our database
9 fights · 7-1
Last 5
W
UFC 168: Weidman vs Silva 2
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Shogun vs Sonn…
—
W
The Ultimate Fighter: Team Jone…
—
L
UFC on FX: Browne vs Bigfoot
—
W
UFC 145: Jones vs Evans
—