Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Jim Miller
Yancy Medeiros
81%
19%
Why
71"
Reach
Δ 4"
76"
31
Age
Δ 4y
27
40-19
Career record
Δ 3 pp
15-8
W2
Current streak
L1
11
UFC fights in our DB
2
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Submission · Round 1
Miller: 5 sig / 0 TD ·
Medeiros: 9 sig / 0 TD
Jim Miller
Yancy Medeiros
33
Sig strikes landed
23
81
Sig strikes attempted
63
45
Total strikes landed
30
0.8
Takedowns landed
0.6
2.7
Takedowns attempted
2.2
0.30
Knockdowns
0.30
128s
Control time
83s
Method
Decision
49%
KO/TKO
22%
Submission
29%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W2
Jim Miller
"A-10"
40-19
(1 NC)
Career record
Height
68"
Reach
71"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
31
In our database
11 fights · 8-2
Last 5
W
UFC 168: Weidman vs Silva 2
—
W
UFC 155: Dos Santos vs Velasque…
—
L
UFC on FOX: Diaz vs Miller
—
W
UFC on FX: Guillard vs Miller
—
L
UFC Live: Hardy vs Lytle
—
Blue corner
L1
Yancy Medeiros
15-8
(1 NC)
Career record
Height
70"
Reach
76"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
27
In our database
2 fights · 0-1
Last 1
L
UFC 159: Jones vs Sonnen
—