Statlab take
baseline
Edge
Confidence: High
Sai Wang
Zhang Lipeng
57%
43%
Why
28
Age
Δ 4y
24
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Split · Round 3
Wang: 31 sig / 0 TD ·
Lipeng: 10 sig / 4 TD
Sai Wang
Zhang Lipeng
35
Sig strikes landed
37
81
Sig strikes attempted
82
50
Total strikes landed
52
1.1
Takedowns landed
1.1
2.4
Takedowns attempted
2.1
0.20
Knockdowns
0.40
125s
Control time
120s
Method
Decision
47%
KO/TKO
39%
Submission
14%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
Sai Wang
"The Fire Kylin"
0-0
Career record
Height
72"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
28
Blue corner
Zhang Lipeng
"The Warrior"
0-0
Career record
Height
71"
Reach
71"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
24