Statlab take
baseline
Edge
Confidence: High
Dong Hyun Kim
John Hathaway
58%
42%
Why
76"
Reach
Δ 0"
76"
32
Age
Δ 6y
27
23-4-1
Career record
Δ 8 pp
18-2
W3
Current streak
W3
8
UFC fights in our DB
5
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 3
Kim: 27 sig / 1 TD ·
Hathaway: 27 sig / 1 TD
Dong Hyun Kim
John Hathaway
30
Sig strikes landed
32
73
Sig strikes attempted
83
49
Total strikes landed
54
1.7
Takedowns landed
0.9
6.4
Takedowns attempted
2.9
0.20
Knockdowns
0.20
193s
Control time
158s
Method
Decision
69%
KO/TKO
22%
Submission
9%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W3
Dong Hyun Kim
"Stun Gun"
23-4-1
(1 NC)
Career record
Height
74"
Reach
76"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
32
In our database
8 fights · 6-2
Last 5
W
UFC Fight Night: Maia vs Shields
—
W
UFC on FUEL TV: Silva vs. Stann
—
W
UFC Macao: Franklin vs Le
—
L
UFC 148: Silva vs Sonnen 2
—
W
UFC 141: Lesnar vs Overeem
—
Blue corner
W3
John Hathaway
"The Hitman"
18-2
Career record
Height
73"
Reach
76"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
27
In our database
5 fights · 4-1
Last 5
W
UFC on FUEL TV: Struve vs Miocic
—
W
UFC on FOX: Diaz vs Miller
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Nogueira vs Da…
—
L
UFC 120: Bisping vs Akiyama
—
W
UFC 114: Rampage vs Evans
—