Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Kazuki Tokudome
Yui Chul Nam
67%
33%
Why
27
Age
Δ 6y
33
L1
Current streak
—
2
UFC fights in our DB
0
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Split · Round 3
Tokudome: 31 sig / 3 TD ·
Nam: 77 sig / 1 TD
Kazuki Tokudome
Yui Chul Nam
39
Sig strikes landed
36
94
Sig strikes attempted
77
65
Total strikes landed
49
2.0
Takedowns landed
0.7
4.9
Takedowns attempted
1.9
0.30
Knockdowns
0.20
233s
Control time
75s
Method
Decision
58%
KO/TKO
29%
Submission
13%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L1
Kazuki Tokudome
18-8-1
Career record
Height
71"
Reach
73"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
27
In our database
2 fights · 1-1
Last 2
L
UFC 162: Silva vs Weidman
—
W
UFC on FUEL TV: Silva vs. Stann
—
Blue corner
Yui Chul Nam
"The Korean Bulldozer"
0-0
Career record
Height
69"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
33