Main
Light Heavyweight
Ovince Saint Preux vs Nikita Krylov
UFC 171: Hendricks vs Lawler
·American Airlines Center
Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Ovince Saint Preux
Nikita Krylov
20%
80%
Why
80"
Reach
Δ 2"
78"
31
Age
Δ 9y
22
28-18
Career record
Δ 14 pp
32-11
W2
Current streak
W1
2
UFC fights in our DB
2
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Submission · Round 1
Saint Preux: 1 sig / 1 TD ·
Krylov: 1 sig / 0 TD
Ovince Saint Preux
Nikita Krylov
24
Sig strikes landed
24
45
Sig strikes attempted
54
33
Total strikes landed
37
0.7
Takedowns landed
0.8
1.8
Takedowns attempted
1.4
0.20
Knockdowns
0.30
104s
Control time
113s
Method
Decision
20%
KO/TKO
44%
Submission
36%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W2
Ovince Saint Preux
28-18
Career record
Height
75"
Reach
80"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
31
In our database
2 fights · 2-0
Last 2
W
UFC Fight Night: Shogun vs Sonn…
—
W
UFC 159: Jones vs Sonnen
—
Blue corner
W1
Nikita Krylov
"The Miner"
32-11
Career record
Height
75"
Reach
78"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
22
In our database
2 fights · 1-1
Last 2
W
UFC on FOX: Henderson vs Thomson
—
L
UFC 164: Henderson vs Pettis 2
—