Back to UFC 171: Hendricks vs Lawler
Prelims2 Lightweight

Renee Forte vs Francisco Trevino

UFC 171: Hendricks vs Lawler ·American Airlines Center
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Statlab take

baseline
Toss-up Confidence: High
Renee Forte
Francisco Trevino
50% 50%
Why
71"
Reach
Δ 1"
70"
27
Age
Δ 5y
32
L1
Current streak
—
3
UFC fights in our DB
0

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Forte: 14 sig / 5 TD · Trevino: 47 sig / 2 TD
Renee Forte
Francisco Trevino
28
Sig strikes landed
39
69
Sig strikes attempted
76
41
Total strikes landed
62
1.4
Takedowns landed
1.3
3.4
Takedowns attempted
2.7
0.20
Knockdowns
0.30
190s
Control time
160s
Method
Decision
54%
KO/TKO
33%
Submission
14%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
L1

Renee Forte

8-5
Career record
Height
67"
Reach
71"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
27
In our database 3 fights · 1-2
Last 3
L UFC 165: Jones vs Gustafsson
—
W UFC on FUEL TV: Barao vs McDona…
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L UFC 153: Silva vs Bonnar
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Blue corner

Francisco Trevino

"Sitkayan"
0-0
Career record
Height
69"
Reach
70"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
32