Statlab take
baseline
Lean
Confidence: High
Diego Sanchez
Myles Jury
53%
47%
Why
72"
Reach
Δ 1"
73"
32
Age
Δ 7y
25
31-14
Career record
Δ 13 pp
18-4
L1
Current streak
W4
6
UFC fights in our DB
4
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Sanchez: 25 sig / 0 TD ·
Jury: 46 sig / 3 TD
Diego Sanchez
Myles Jury
29
Sig strikes landed
40
77
Sig strikes attempted
102
44
Total strikes landed
58
0.3
Takedowns landed
2.1
1.8
Takedowns attempted
5.2
0.20
Knockdowns
0.20
66s
Control time
239s
Method
Decision
63%
KO/TKO
22%
Submission
14%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L1
Diego Sanchez
"Nightmare"
31-14
Career record
Height
70"
Reach
72"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
32
In our database
6 fights · 3-3
Last 5
L
UFC 166: Velasquez vs Dos Santo…
—
W
UFC on FUEL TV: Silva vs. Stann
—
L
UFC on FUEL TV: Sanchez vs Elle…
—
W
UFC Live: Sanchez vs Kampmann
—
W
UFC 121: Lesnar vs Velasquez
—
Blue corner
W4
Myles Jury
"Fury"
18-4
Career record
Height
70"
Reach
73"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
25
In our database
4 fights · 4-0
Last 4
W
UFC 165: Jones vs Gustafsson
—
W
UFC on FOX: Henderson vs Melend…
—
W
UFC 155: Dos Santos vs Velasque…
—
W
The Ultimate Fighter: Live Fina…
—