Back to UFC 171: Hendricks vs Lawler
Prelims2 Middleweight

Robert McDaniel vs Sean Strickland

UFC 171: Hendricks vs Lawler ·American Airlines Center
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Statlab take

baseline
Heavy favorite Confidence: High
Robert McDaniel
Sean Strickland
28% 72%
Why
75"
Reach
Δ 1"
76"
31
Age
Δ 8y
23
L1
Current streak
—
2
UFC fights in our DB
0

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
Submission · Round 1
McDaniel: 4 sig / 1 TD · Strickland: 20 sig / 1 TD
Robert McDaniel
Sean Strickland
25
Sig strikes landed
31
56
Sig strikes attempted
62
47
Total strikes landed
51
2.2
Takedowns landed
0.7
5.9
Takedowns attempted
0.8
0.10
Knockdowns
0.40
229s
Control time
102s
Method
Decision
49%
KO/TKO
32%
Submission
18%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
L1

Robert McDaniel

"Bubba"
28-11
Career record
Height
75"
Reach
75"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
31
In our database 2 fights · 1-1
Last 2
L UFC Fight Night: Condit vs Kamp…
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W The Ultimate Fighter: Team Jone…
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Blue corner

Sean Strickland

0-0
Career record
Height
73"
Reach
76"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
23