Prelims2
Featherweight
Daniel Pineda vs Robert Whiteford
UFC 171: Hendricks vs Lawler
·American Airlines Center
Statlab take
baseline
Clear edge
Confidence: High
Daniel Pineda
Robert Whiteford
63%
37%
Why
69"
Reach
69"
29
Age
Δ 2y
31
28-18
Career record
Δ 13 pp
14-5
L1
Current streak
L1
6
UFC fights in our DB
1
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Pineda: 24 sig / 1 TD ·
Whiteford: 26 sig / 5 TD
Daniel Pineda
Robert Whiteford
26
Sig strikes landed
17
43
Sig strikes attempted
33
44
Total strikes landed
36
1.1
Takedowns landed
1.0
2.2
Takedowns attempted
2.1
0.40
Knockdowns
0.10
137s
Control time
140s
Method
Decision
45%
KO/TKO
28%
Submission
27%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L1
Daniel Pineda
"The Pit"
28-18
(3 NC)
Career record
Height
67"
Reach
69"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
29
In our database
6 fights · 3-3
Last 5
L
UFC Fight Night: Shogun vs Sonn…
—
W
The Ultimate Fighter: Team Jone…
—
L
UFC 149: Faber vs Barao
—
L
UFC 146: Dos Santos vs Mir
—
W
UFC on FX: Alves vs Kampmann
—
Blue corner
L1
Robert Whiteford
"The Hammer"
14-5
Career record
Height
69"
Reach
69"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
31
In our database
1 fight · 0-1
Last 1
L
UFC Fight Night: Machida vs Mun…
—