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Prelims1 Bantamweight

Ramiro Hernandez vs Hugo Viana

UFC on FOX: Henderson vs Thomson ·United Center
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Statlab take

baseline
Heavy favorite Confidence: High
Ramiro Hernandez
Hugo Viana
68% 32%
Why
28
Age
Δ 4y
31
19-10
Career record
Δ 4 pp
8-5
L1
Current streak
L1
1
UFC fights in our DB
3

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Hernandez: 40 sig / 0 TD · Viana: 79 sig / 0 TD
Ramiro Hernandez
Hugo Viana
29
Sig strikes landed
30
76
Sig strikes attempted
61
36
Total strikes landed
43
1.0
Takedowns landed
0.3
2.2
Takedowns attempted
1.6
0.40
Knockdowns
0.70
77s
Control time
40s
Method
Decision
31%
KO/TKO
55%
Submission
15%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
L1

Ramiro Hernandez

"Junior"
19-10
Career record
Height
69"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
28
In our database 1 fight · 0-1
Last 1
L UFC Fight Night: Teixeira vs Ba…
—
Blue corner
L1

Hugo Viana

"Wolverine"
8-5
Career record
Height
66"
Reach
68"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
31
In our database 3 fights · 2-1
Last 3
L UFC on FOX: Henderson vs Melend…
—
W The Ultimate Fighter: Team Carw…
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W UFC 147: Silva vs Franklin 2
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