Statlab take
baseline
Clear edge
Confidence: High
Chico Camus
Yaotzin Meza
62%
38%
Why
66"
Reach
Δ 5"
71"
29
Age
Δ 4y
33
18-7
Career record
Δ 5 pp
22-11
W1
Current streak
W1
3
UFC fights in our DB
2
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Overturned · Round 3
Camus: 12 sig / 2 TD ·
Meza: 12 sig / 1 TD
Chico Camus
Yaotzin Meza
27
Sig strikes landed
20
69
Sig strikes attempted
57
50
Total strikes landed
42
1.8
Takedowns landed
1.3
3.3
Takedowns attempted
4.2
0.20
Knockdowns
0.10
232s
Control time
181s
Method
Decision
48%
KO/TKO
19%
Submission
33%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W1
Chico Camus
"The King"
18-7
(1 NC)
Career record
Height
66"
Reach
66"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
29
In our database
3 fights · 2-1
Last 3
W
UFC 164: Henderson vs Pettis 2
—
L
UFC 156: Aldo vs Edgar
—
W
UFC 150: Henderson vs Edgar II
—
Blue corner
W1
Yaotzin Meza
22-11
(1 NC)
Career record
Height
69"
Reach
71"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
33
In our database
2 fights · 1-1
Last 2
W
UFC on FOX: Johnson vs Moraga
—
L
UFC on FX: Sotiropoulos vs Pear…
—