Back to UFC Fight Night: Rockhold vs Philippou
Prelims2 Lightweight

Vinc Pichel vs Garett Whiteley

UFC Fight Night: Rockhold vs Philippou ·Arena at Gwinett Center
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Statlab take

baseline
Heavy favorite Confidence: High
Vinc Pichel
Garett Whiteley
69% 31%
Why
72"
Reach
72"
31
Age
Δ 2y
33
14-6
Career record
Δ 6 pp
7-4
L1
Current streak
L1
1
UFC fights in our DB
1

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Pichel: 44 sig / 8 TD · Whiteley: 44 sig / 0 TD
Vinc Pichel
Garett Whiteley
60
Sig strikes landed
35
183
Sig strikes attempted
86
62
Total strikes landed
62
0.8
Takedowns landed
1.1
4.0
Takedowns attempted
2.9
0.30
Knockdowns
0.10
84s
Control time
198s
Method
Decision
57%
KO/TKO
28%
Submission
15%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
L1

Vinc Pichel

"From Hell"
14-6
Career record
Height
70"
Reach
72"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
31
In our database 1 fight · 0-1
Last 1
L The Ultimate Fighter: Team Carw…
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Blue corner
L1

Garett Whiteley

"Goodnight"
7-4
Career record
Height
72"
Reach
72"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
33
In our database 1 fight · 0-1
Last 1
L UFC Fight Night: Maia vs Shields
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