Back to UFC Fight Night: Rockhold vs Philippou
Prelims2 Lightweight

Charlie Brenneman vs Beneil Dariush

UFC Fight Night: Rockhold vs Philippou ·Arena at Gwinett Center
Previous fight

Statlab take

baseline
Heavy favorite Confidence: High
Charlie Brenneman
Beneil Dariush
32% 68%
Why
70"
Reach
Δ 2"
72"
33
Age
Δ 8y
25
L2
Current streak
—
8
UFC fights in our DB
0

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
Submission · Round 1
Brenneman: 5 sig / 0 TD · Dariush: 9 sig / 0 TD
Charlie Brenneman
Beneil Dariush
17
Sig strikes landed
25
41
Sig strikes attempted
50
43
Total strikes landed
48
1.7
Takedowns landed
0.6
5.1
Takedowns attempted
0.5
0.00
Knockdowns
0.40
229s
Control time
102s
Method
Decision
54%
KO/TKO
18%
Submission
28%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
L2

Charlie Brenneman

"The Spaniard"
19-9
Career record
Height
70"
Reach
70"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
33
In our database 8 fights · 4-4
Last 5
L UFC 152: Jones vs Belfort
—
L UFC on FX: Johnson vs McCall
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W UFC on FX: Guillard vs Miller
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L UFC Live: Cruz vs Johnson
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W UFC Live: Kongo vs Barry
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Blue corner

Beneil Dariush

0-0
Career record
Height
70"
Reach
72"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
25