Prelims1
Lightweight
Ramsey Nijem vs Justin Edwards
UFC Fight Night: Rockhold vs Philippou
·Arena at Gwinett Center
Statlab take
baseline
Clear edge
Confidence: High
Ramsey Nijem
Justin Edwards
66%
34%
Why
75"
Reach
Δ 5"
70"
26
Age
Δ 5y
31
9-7
Career record
Δ 4 pp
9-6
L2
Current streak
L1
6
UFC fights in our DB
5
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Nijem: 46 sig / 5 TD ·
Edwards: 25 sig / 0 TD
Ramsey Nijem
Justin Edwards
26
Sig strikes landed
23
55
Sig strikes attempted
42
52
Total strikes landed
38
1.6
Takedowns landed
1.1
2.6
Takedowns attempted
2.2
0.20
Knockdowns
0.10
222s
Control time
150s
Method
Decision
45%
KO/TKO
33%
Submission
23%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L2
Ramsey Nijem
9-7
Career record
Height
71"
Reach
75"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
26
In our database
6 fights · 3-3
Last 5
L
UFC Fight Night: Shogun vs Sonn…
—
L
UFC on FOX: Henderson vs Melend…
—
W
UFC on FOX: Henderson vs Diaz
—
W
UFC on FX: Maynard vs Guida
—
W
UFC 137: Penn vs Diaz
—
Blue corner
L1
Justin Edwards
"Fast Eddy"
9-6
Career record
Height
70"
Reach
70"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
31
In our database
5 fights · 2-3
Last 5
L
UFC Fight Night: Condit vs Kamp…
—
W
UFC on FX: Browne vs Bigfoot
—
L
UFC 138: Leben vs Munoz
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Shields vs Ell…
—
L
The Ultimate Fighter: Team Lesn…
—