Main
Featherweight
Cole Miller vs Sam Sicilia
UFC Fight Night: Rockhold vs Philippou
·Arena at Gwinett Center
Statlab take
baseline
Clear edge
Confidence: High
Cole Miller
Sam Sicilia
64%
36%
Why
73"
Reach
Δ 6"
67"
30
Age
Δ 2y
28
22-11
Career record
Δ 0 pp
16-8
W1
Current streak
W1
9
UFC fights in our DB
4
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Submission · Round 2
Miller: 38 sig / 0 TD ·
Sicilia: 14 sig / 0 TD
Cole Miller
Sam Sicilia
47
Sig strikes landed
35
102
Sig strikes attempted
84
59
Total strikes landed
47
0.6
Takedowns landed
1.5
1.2
Takedowns attempted
4.1
0.30
Knockdowns
0.20
81s
Control time
131s
Method
Decision
47%
KO/TKO
22%
Submission
30%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W1
Cole Miller
"Magrinho"
22-11
(1 NC)
Career record
Height
73"
Reach
73"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
30
In our database
9 fights · 5-4
Last 5
W
UFC Fight Night: Machida vs Mun…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Shogun vs Sonn…
—
W
The Ultimate Fighter: Team Jone…
—
L
UFC on FOX: Shogun vs Vera
—
L
UFC on FX: Alves vs Kampmann
—
Blue corner
W1
Sam Sicilia
16-8
Career record
Height
68"
Reach
67"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
28
In our database
4 fights · 2-2
Last 4
W
UFC Fight Night: Belfort vs Hen…
—
L
The Ultimate Fighter: Team Jone…
—
L
UFC 153: Silva vs Bonnar
—
W
The Ultimate Fighter: Live Fina…
—