Prelims1
Lightweight
Isaac Vallie-Flagg vs Elias Silverio
UFC Fight Night: Rockhold vs Philippou
·Arena at Gwinett Center
Statlab take
baseline
Edge
Confidence: High
Isaac Vallie-Flagg
Elias Silverio
39%
61%
Why
70"
Reach
Δ 3"
73"
36
Age
Δ 8y
27
17-7-1
Career record
Δ 14 pp
14-3
W1
Current streak
W1
1
UFC fights in our DB
1
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Vallie-Flagg: 21 sig / 0 TD ·
Silverio: 81 sig / 4 TD
Isaac Vallie-Flagg
Elias Silverio
43
Sig strikes landed
58
113
Sig strikes attempted
126
67
Total strikes landed
86
0.9
Takedowns landed
1.3
3.7
Takedowns attempted
4.0
0.10
Knockdowns
0.20
112s
Control time
140s
Method
Decision
83%
KO/TKO
10%
Submission
7%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W1
Isaac Vallie-Flagg
17-7-1
Career record
Height
68"
Reach
70"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
36
In our database
1 fight · 1-0
Last 1
W
UFC 156: Aldo vs Edgar
—
Blue corner
W1
Elias Silverio
"Xuxu"
14-3
Career record
Height
71"
Reach
73"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
27
In our database
1 fight · 1-0
Last 1
W
UFC Fight Night: Teixeira vs Ba…
—