Prelims1
Flyweight
Zach Makovsky vs Josh Sampo
UFC 170: Rousey vs McMann
·Mandalay Bay Events Center
Statlab take
baseline
Edge
Confidence: High
Zach Makovsky
Josh Sampo
61%
39%
Why
64"
Reach
64"
31
Age
Δ 1y
30
21-8
Career record
Δ 2 pp
12-5
W1
Current streak
W1
1
UFC fights in our DB
1
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Makovsky: 34 sig / 5 TD ·
Sampo: 19 sig / 0 TD
Zach Makovsky
Josh Sampo
25
Sig strikes landed
22
71
Sig strikes attempted
62
42
Total strikes landed
37
1.5
Takedowns landed
1.1
3.5
Takedowns attempted
3.7
0.20
Knockdowns
0.10
159s
Control time
139s
Method
Decision
48%
KO/TKO
16%
Submission
37%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W1
Zach Makovsky
"Fun Size"
21-8
Career record
Height
64"
Reach
64"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
31
In our database
1 fight · 1-0
Last 1
W
UFC on FOX: Johnson vs. Benavid…
—
Blue corner
W1
Josh Sampo
"The Gremlin"
12-5
Career record
Height
64"
Reach
64"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
30
In our database
1 fight · 1-0
Last 1
W
The Ultimate Fighter: Team Rous…
—