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Alexis Davis vs Jessica Eye

UFC 170: Rousey vs McMann ·Mandalay Bay Events Center
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Statlab take

baseline
Heavy favorite Confidence: High
Alexis Davis
Jessica Eye
68% 32%
Why
68"
Reach
Δ 2"
66"
29
Age
Δ 2y
28
22-11
Career record
Δ 9 pp
15-11
W2
Current streak
—
2
UFC fights in our DB
1

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
Decision - Split · Round 3
Davis: 53 sig / 2 TD · Eye: 47 sig / 0 TD
Alexis Davis
Jessica Eye
50
Sig strikes landed
38
115
Sig strikes attempted
94
87
Total strikes landed
66
1.8
Takedowns landed
0.6
4.5
Takedowns attempted
1.4
0.10
Knockdowns
0.10
246s
Control time
76s
Method
Decision
68%
KO/TKO
17%
Submission
15%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
W2

Alexis Davis

22-11
Career record
Height
66"
Reach
68"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
29
In our database 2 fights · 2-0
Last 2
W UFC Fight Night: Fight for the …
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W UFC 161: Evans vs Henderson
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Blue corner

Jessica Eye

"Evil"
15-11 (1 NC)
Career record
Height
66"
Reach
66"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
28
In our database 1 fight · 0-0