Prelims1
Bantamweight
Raphael Assuncao vs Pedro Munhoz
UFC 170: Rousey vs McMann
·Mandalay Bay Events Center
Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Raphael Assuncao
Pedro Munhoz
70%
30%
Why
66"
Reach
Δ 2"
65"
32
Age
Δ 4y
28
W5
Current streak
—
6
UFC fights in our DB
0
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Assuncao: 100 sig / 3 TD ·
Munhoz: 33 sig / 0 TD
Raphael Assuncao
Pedro Munhoz
36
Sig strikes landed
33
86
Sig strikes attempted
80
54
Total strikes landed
47
1.1
Takedowns landed
0.9
2.7
Takedowns attempted
1.7
0.20
Knockdowns
0.30
144s
Control time
95s
Method
Decision
50%
KO/TKO
33%
Submission
17%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W5
Raphael Assuncao
29-10
Career record
Height
65"
Reach
67"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
32
In our database
6 fights · 5-1
Last 5
W
UFC Fight Night: Maia vs Shields
—
W
UFC on FUEL TV: Nogueira vs. We…
—
W
UFC on FOX: Henderson vs Diaz
—
W
UFC on FUEL TV: Munoz vs Weidman
—
W
UFC 134: Silva vs Okami
—
Blue corner
Pedro Munhoz
"The Young Punisher"
0-0
Career record
Height
66"
Reach
65"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
28