Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Brad Pickett
Neil Seery
75%
25%
Why
68"
Reach
Δ 4"
64"
36
Age
Δ 1y
34
L1
Current streak
—
6
UFC fights in our DB
0
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Pickett: 49 sig / 4 TD ·
Seery: 47 sig / 0 TD
Brad Pickett
Neil Seery
43
Sig strikes landed
41
106
Sig strikes attempted
86
61
Total strikes landed
49
1.2
Takedowns landed
0.9
2.7
Takedowns attempted
2.4
0.30
Knockdowns
0.30
134s
Control time
76s
Method
Decision
50%
KO/TKO
32%
Submission
17%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L1
Brad Pickett
"One Punch"
25-15
Career record
Height
66"
Reach
68"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
36
In our database
6 fights · 3-3
Last 5
L
UFC Fight Night: Shogun vs Sonn…
—
W
UFC on FUEL TV: Mousasi vs Lati…
—
L
UFC 155: Dos Santos vs Velasque…
—
W
UFC on FUEL TV: Struve vs Miocic
—
W
UFC on FUEL TV: Gustafsson vs S…
—
Blue corner
Neil Seery
"2Tap"
0-0
Career record
Height
64"
Reach
65"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
35