Prelims1
Light Heavyweight
Cyrille Diabate vs Ilir Latifi
UFC Fight Night: Gustafsson vs Manuwa
·The O2 Arena
Statlab take
baseline
Lean
Confidence: High
Cyrille Diabate
Ilir Latifi
53%
47%
Why
81"
Reach
Δ 8"
74"
40
Age
Δ 9y
32
19-11-1
Career record
Δ 2 pp
17-10
L1
Current streak
L1
7
UFC fights in our DB
1
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Submission · Round 1
Diabate: 0 sig / 0 TD ·
Latifi: 0 sig / 1 TD
Cyrille Diabate
Ilir Latifi
27
Sig strikes landed
19
60
Sig strikes attempted
47
38
Total strikes landed
36
0.3
Takedowns landed
1.2
0.5
Takedowns attempted
4.5
0.30
Knockdowns
0.20
58s
Control time
137s
Method
Decision
22%
KO/TKO
21%
Submission
57%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L1
Cyrille Diabate
"The Snake"
19-11-1
Career record
Height
78"
Reach
81"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
40
In our database
7 fights · 4-3
Last 5
L
UFC on FUEL TV: Barao vs McDona…
—
W
UFC 154: St-Pierre vs Condit
—
W
UFC on FUEL TV: Gustafsson vs S…
—
L
UFC 138: Leben vs Munoz
—
W
UFC Live: Sanchez vs Kampmann
—
Blue corner
L1
Ilir Latifi
"The Sledgehammer"
17-10
(1 NC)
Career record
Height
70"
Reach
74"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
32
In our database
1 fight · 0-1
Last 1
L
UFC on FUEL TV: Mousasi vs Lati…
—