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Mairbek Taisumov vs Tae Hyun Bang

UFC Fight Night: Saffiedine vs Lim ·Marina Bay Sands
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Statlab take

baseline
Heavy favorite Confidence: High
Mairbek Taisumov
Tae Hyun Bang
87% 13%
Why
73"
Reach
Δ 2"
71"
25
Age
Δ 5y
31

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Taisumov: 33 sig / 5 TD · Bang: 26 sig / 0 TD
Mairbek Taisumov
Tae Hyun Bang
41
Sig strikes landed
33
86
Sig strikes attempted
77
58
Total strikes landed
47
1.1
Takedowns landed
0.9
2.0
Takedowns attempted
2.3
0.40
Knockdowns
0.20
149s
Control time
112s
Method
Decision
42%
KO/TKO
40%
Submission
18%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner

Mairbek Taisumov

"Beckan"
0-0
Career record
Height
69"
Reach
73"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
25
Blue corner

Tae Hyun Bang

"Supernatural"
0-0
Career record
Height
69"
Reach
71"
Stance
Switch
Age
31