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Prelims1 Bantamweight

Dustin Kimura vs Jon Delos Reyes

UFC Fight Night: Saffiedine vs Lim ·Marina Bay Sands
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Statlab take

baseline
Heavy favorite Confidence: High
Dustin Kimura
Jon Delos Reyes
72% 28%
Why
71"
Reach
Δ 4"
67"
25
Age
Δ 2y
26
L1
Current streak
—
2
UFC fights in our DB
0

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
Submission · Round 1
Kimura: 1 sig / 0 TD · Delos Reyes: 9 sig / 1 TD
Dustin Kimura
Jon Delos Reyes
30
Sig strikes landed
30
73
Sig strikes attempted
59
46
Total strikes landed
42
1.2
Takedowns landed
0.9
2.8
Takedowns attempted
2.0
0.20
Knockdowns
0.20
133s
Control time
120s
Method
Decision
43%
KO/TKO
25%
Submission
32%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
L1

Dustin Kimura

"The Diamond"
11-4
Career record
Height
67"
Reach
71"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
25
In our database 2 fights · 1-1
Last 2
L UFC 165: Jones vs Gustafsson
—
W UFC 156: Aldo vs Edgar
—
Blue corner

Jon Delos Reyes

"The Heat"
0-0
Career record
Height
66"
Reach
67"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
26