Back to UFC Fight Night: Saffiedine vs Lim
Prelims1 Bantamweight

Royston Wee vs Dave Galera

Statlab take

baseline
Heavy favorite Confidence: High
Royston Wee
Dave Galera
68% 32%
Why
27
Age
Δ 9y
36

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Wee: 8 sig / 6 TD · Galera: 25 sig / 0 TD
Royston Wee
Dave Galera
31
Sig strikes landed
32
72
Sig strikes attempted
65
43
Total strikes landed
51
0.7
Takedowns landed
0.5
1.0
Takedowns attempted
0.9
0.40
Knockdowns
0.20
136s
Control time
122s
Method
Decision
43%
KO/TKO
34%
Submission
22%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner

Royston Wee

0-0
Career record
Height
67"
Reach
67"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
27
Blue corner

Dave Galera

"Scarecrow"
0-0
Career record
Height
71"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
36