Back to UFC Fight Night: Saffiedine vs Lim
Prelims1 Bantamweight

Leandro Issa vs Russell Doane

UFC Fight Night: Saffiedine vs Lim ·Marina Bay Sands
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Statlab take

baseline
Toss-up Confidence: High
Leandro Issa
Russell Doane
52% 48%
Why
69"
Reach
Δ 2"
70"
30
Age
Δ 3y
27

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
Submission · Round 2
Issa: 17 sig / 2 TD · Doane: 43 sig / 0 TD
Leandro Issa
Russell Doane
36
Sig strikes landed
37
76
Sig strikes attempted
79
49
Total strikes landed
52
1.0
Takedowns landed
1.0
2.6
Takedowns attempted
2.0
0.20
Knockdowns
0.30
126s
Control time
122s
Method
Decision
44%
KO/TKO
38%
Submission
19%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner

Leandro Issa

"Brodinho"
0-0
Career record
Height
67"
Reach
69"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
30
Blue corner

Russell Doane

0-0
Career record
Height
67"
Reach
71"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
27