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Kyung Ho Kang vs Shunichi Shimizu

UFC Fight Night: Saffiedine vs Lim ·Marina Bay Sands
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Statlab take

baseline
Toss-up Confidence: High
Kyung Ho Kang
Shunichi Shimizu
52% 48%
Why
26
Age
Δ 3y
29
L1
Current streak
—
2
UFC fights in our DB
0

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
Submission · Round 3
Kang: 65 sig / 2 TD · Shimizu: 2 sig / 0 TD
Kyung Ho Kang
Shunichi Shimizu
22
Sig strikes landed
40
67
Sig strikes attempted
95
59
Total strikes landed
77
3.0
Takedowns landed
1.4
5.4
Takedowns attempted
1.5
0.10
Knockdowns
0.30
318s
Control time
99s
Method
Decision
42%
KO/TKO
32%
Submission
26%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
L1

Kyung Ho Kang

"Mr. Perfect"
19-12 (1 NC)
Career record
Height
69"
Reach
73"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
26
In our database 2 fights · 0-1
Last 1
L UFC 164: Henderson vs Pettis 2
—
Blue corner

Shunichi Shimizu

0-0
Career record
Height
65"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
29