Prelims1
Featherweight
Felipe Arantes vs Maximo Blanco
UFC Fight Night: Machida vs Mousasi
·Arena Jaragua
Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Felipe Arantes
Maximo Blanco
77%
23%
Why
73"
Reach
Δ 2"
71"
26
Age
Δ 4y
30
18-11-1
Career record
Δ 5 pp
12-9-1
L1
Current streak
L1
5
UFC fights in our DB
3
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Arantes: 39 sig / 1 TD ·
Blanco: 44 sig / 3 TD
Felipe Arantes
Maximo Blanco
40
Sig strikes landed
27
77
Sig strikes attempted
73
57
Total strikes landed
49
1.6
Takedowns landed
0.9
3.4
Takedowns attempted
3.2
0.40
Knockdowns
0.10
209s
Control time
130s
Method
Decision
61%
KO/TKO
24%
Submission
14%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L1
Felipe Arantes
"Sertanejo"
18-11-1
(2 NC)
Career record
Height
68"
Reach
73"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
26
In our database
5 fights · 2-2
Last 5
L
UFC Fight Night: Teixeira vs Ba…
—
W
UFC on FUEL TV: Nogueira vs. We…
—
D
UFC 147: Silva vs Franklin 2
—
W
UFC 142: Aldo vs Mendes
—
L
UFC 134: Silva vs Okami
—
Blue corner
L1
Maximo Blanco
"Maxi"
12-9-1
(1 NC)
Career record
Height
68"
Reach
71"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
30
In our database
3 fights · 1-2
Last 3
L
The Ultimate Fighter: Team Rous…
—
W
The Ultimate Fighter: Team Jone…
—
L
UFC 145: Jones vs Evans
—