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Cristiano Marcello vs Joe Proctor

UFC Fight Night: Machida vs Mousasi ·Arena Jaragua
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Statlab take

baseline
Edge Confidence: High
Cristiano Marcello
Joe Proctor
42% 58%
Why
72"
Reach
72"
36
Age
Δ 8y
28
13-7
Career record
Δ 0 pp
11-6
L1
Current streak
L1
3
UFC fights in our DB
2

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Marcello: 26 sig / 1 TD · Proctor: 67 sig / 0 TD
Cristiano Marcello
Joe Proctor
32
Sig strikes landed
39
85
Sig strikes attempted
105
50
Total strikes landed
60
0.6
Takedowns landed
1.1
2.2
Takedowns attempted
2.9
0.20
Knockdowns
0.30
88s
Control time
130s
Method
Decision
44%
KO/TKO
39%
Submission
17%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
L1

Cristiano Marcello

13-7
Career record
Height
69"
Reach
72"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
36
In our database 3 fights · 1-2
Last 3
L UFC on FUEL TV: Silva vs. Stann
—
W UFC 153: Silva vs Bonnar
—
L The Ultimate Fighter: Live Fina…
—
Blue corner
L1

Joe Proctor

11-6
Career record
Height
70"
Reach
72"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
29
In our database 2 fights · 1-1
Last 2
L UFC on FOX: Henderson vs Diaz
—
W The Ultimate Fighter: Live Fina…
—