Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
King Green
Pat Healy
81%
19%
Why
71"
Reach
Δ 1"
72"
27
Age
Δ 3y
30
36-17-1
Career record
Δ 8 pp
34-24
W2
Current streak
L1
2
UFC fights in our DB
2
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Green: 80 sig / 3 TD ·
Healy: 59 sig / 2 TD
King Green
Pat Healy
47
Sig strikes landed
36
112
Sig strikes attempted
102
58
Total strikes landed
50
1.3
Takedowns landed
0.6
3.5
Takedowns attempted
3.0
0.50
Knockdowns
0.10
92s
Control time
66s
Method
Decision
70%
KO/TKO
18%
Submission
11%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W2
King Green
36-17-1
(1 NC)
Career record
Height
70"
Reach
71"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
27
In our database
2 fights · 2-0
Last 2
W
UFC Fight Night: Fight for the …
—
W
UFC 156: Aldo vs Edgar
—
Blue corner
L1
Pat Healy
"Bam Bam"
34-24
(1 NC)
Career record
Height
72"
Reach
72"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
30
In our database
2 fights · 0-1
Last 1
L
UFC 165: Jones vs Gustafsson
—