Back to UFC on FOX: Johnson vs. Benavidez 2
Prelims1 Flyweight

Scott Jorgensen vs Zach Makovsky

UFC on FOX: Johnson vs. Benavidez 2 ·Sleep Train Arena
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Statlab take

baseline
Clear edge Confidence: High
Scott Jorgensen
Zach Makovsky
35% 65%
Why
66"
Reach
Δ 2"
64"
31
Age
Δ 0y
31
L1
Current streak
—
6
UFC fights in our DB
0

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Jorgensen: 31 sig / 1 TD · Makovsky: 26 sig / 6 TD
Scott Jorgensen
Zach Makovsky
38
Sig strikes landed
43
98
Sig strikes attempted
92
54
Total strikes landed
55
1.2
Takedowns landed
1.2
3.3
Takedowns attempted
2.3
0.10
Knockdowns
0.40
156s
Control time
114s
Method
Decision
54%
KO/TKO
25%
Submission
21%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
L1

Scott Jorgensen

"Young Guns"
15-13
Career record
Height
65"
Reach
66"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
31
In our database 6 fights · 3-3
Last 5
L The Ultimate Fighter: Team Jone…
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W UFC on FOX: Henderson vs Diaz
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L UFC on FX: Johnson vs McCall
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L UFC 143: Diaz vs Condit
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W UFC 137: Penn vs Diaz
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Blue corner

Zach Makovsky

"Fun Size"
0-0
Career record
Height
64"
Reach
64"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
31