Prelims1
Welterweight
Court McGee vs Ryan LaFlare
UFC on FOX: Johnson vs. Benavidez 2
·Sleep Train Arena
Statlab take
baseline
Toss-up
Confidence: High
Court McGee
Ryan LaFlare
48%
52%
Why
76"
Reach
Δ 2"
74"
29
Age
Δ 1y
30
24-14
Career record
Δ 20 pp
15-3
W2
Current streak
W2
7
UFC fights in our DB
2
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
McGee: 54 sig / 4 TD ·
LaFlare: 68 sig / 4 TD
Court McGee
Ryan LaFlare
51
Sig strikes landed
62
137
Sig strikes attempted
155
64
Total strikes landed
81
1.8
Takedowns landed
3.0
4.2
Takedowns attempted
6.6
0.20
Knockdowns
0.20
80s
Control time
201s
Method
Decision
83%
KO/TKO
12%
Submission
5%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W2
Court McGee
"The Crusher"
24-14
Career record
Height
71"
Reach
76"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
29
In our database
7 fights · 5-2
Last 5
W
UFC Fight Night: Condit vs Kamp…
—
W
UFC 157: Rousey vs Carmouche
—
L
UFC 149: Faber vs Barao
—
L
UFC on FX: Alves vs Kampmann
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Shields vs Ell…
—
Blue corner
W2
Ryan LaFlare
15-3
Career record
Height
73"
Reach
74"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
30
In our database
2 fights · 2-0
Last 2
W
UFC Fight Night: Belfort vs Hen…
—
W
UFC on FUEL TV: Mousasi vs Lati…
—