Prelims1
Lightweight
Sam Stout vs Cody McKenzie
UFC on FOX: Johnson vs. Benavidez 2
·Sleep Train Arena
Statlab take
baseline
Lean
Confidence: High
Sam Stout
Cody McKenzie
55%
45%
Why
70"
Reach
Δ 2"
72"
30
Age
Δ 4y
26
20-13-1
Career record
Δ 4 pp
17-10
L1
Current streak
W1
9
UFC fights in our DB
6
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Stout: 54 sig / 1 TD ·
McKenzie: 31 sig / 1 TD
Sam Stout
Cody McKenzie
46
Sig strikes landed
42
119
Sig strikes attempted
108
71
Total strikes landed
52
0.8
Takedowns landed
1.4
1.8
Takedowns attempted
5.6
0.40
Knockdowns
0.20
127s
Control time
134s
Method
Decision
62%
KO/TKO
23%
Submission
15%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L1
Sam Stout
"Hands of Stone"
20-13-1
Career record
Height
69"
Reach
70"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
30
In our database
9 fights · 5-4
Last 5
L
UFC 161: Evans vs Henderson
—
W
UFC 157: Rousey vs Carmouche
—
L
UFC 154: St-Pierre vs Condit
—
W
UFC on FX: Maynard vs Guida
—
L
UFC 142: Aldo vs Mendes
—
Blue corner
W1
Cody McKenzie
17-10
Career record
Height
72"
Reach
72"
Stance
Switch
Age
26
In our database
6 fights · 3-3
Last 5
W
UFC 159: Jones vs Sonnen
—
L
UFC 148: Silva vs Sonnen 2
—
W
UFC on FUEL TV: Korean Zombie v…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Shields vs Ell…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Fight for the …
—