Back to The Ultimate Fighter: Team Rousey vs. Team Tate Finale
Prelims1 Featherweight

Akira Corassani vs Maximo Blanco

Statlab take

baseline
Edge Confidence: High
Akira Corassani
Maximo Blanco
61% 39%
Why
68"
Reach
Δ 3"
71"
31
Age
Δ 1y
30
13-6
Career record
Δ 9 pp
13-8-1
W2
Current streak
W1
2
UFC fights in our DB
2

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
DQ · Round 1
Corassani: 1 sig / 0 TD · Blanco: 5 sig / 1 TD
Akira Corassani
Maximo Blanco
44
Sig strikes landed
36
87
Sig strikes attempted
92
59
Total strikes landed
52
1.2
Takedowns landed
1.1
3.5
Takedowns attempted
3.3
0.30
Knockdowns
0.10
162s
Control time
129s
Method
Decision
62%
KO/TKO
24%
Submission
13%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
W2

Akira Corassani

13-6 (1 NC)
Career record
Height
68"
Reach
68"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
31
In our database 2 fights · 2-0
Last 2
W UFC on FUEL TV: Mousasi vs Lati…
W UFC on FUEL TV: Struve vs Miocic
Blue corner
W1

Maximo Blanco

"Maxi"
13-8-1 (1 NC)
Career record
Height
68"
Reach
71"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
30
In our database 2 fights · 1-1
Last 2
W The Ultimate Fighter: Team Jone…
L UFC 145: Jones vs Evans