Main
Featherweight
Rony Jason vs Jeremy Stephens
UFC Fight Night: Belfort vs Henderson 2
·Goiania Arena
Statlab take
baseline
Edge
Confidence: High
Rony Jason
Jeremy Stephens
61%
39%
Why
73"
Reach
Δ 2"
71"
30
Age
Δ 2y
28
15-7
Career record
Δ 12 pp
30-23
W3
Current streak
W1
3
UFC fights in our DB
8
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 1
Jason: 1 sig / 0 TD ·
Stephens: 3 sig / 0 TD
Rony Jason
Jeremy Stephens
35
Sig strikes landed
38
77
Sig strikes attempted
84
47
Total strikes landed
50
1.0
Takedowns landed
1.1
3.3
Takedowns attempted
3.2
0.20
Knockdowns
0.30
100s
Control time
126s
Method
Decision
59%
KO/TKO
28%
Submission
13%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W3
Rony Jason
15-7
(1 NC)
Career record
Height
67"
Reach
73"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
30
In our database
3 fights · 3-0
Last 3
W
UFC on FUEL TV: Nogueira vs. We…
—
W
UFC 153: Silva vs Bonnar
—
W
UFC 147: Silva vs Franklin 2
—
Blue corner
W1
Jeremy Stephens
"Lil' Heathen"
30-23
(1 NC)
Career record
Height
69"
Reach
71"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
28
In our database
8 fights · 4-4
Last 5
W
UFC 160: Velasquez vs Silva 2
—
L
UFC on FOX: Henderson vs Diaz
—
L
UFC on FUEL TV: Korean Zombie v…
—
L
UFC 136: Edgar vs Maynard 3
—
W
The Ultimate Fighter: Team Lesn…
—