Prelims1
Featherweight
Godofredo Pepey vs Sam Sicilia
UFC Fight Night: Belfort vs Henderson 2
·Goiania Arena
Statlab take
baseline
Edge
Confidence: High
Godofredo Pepey
Sam Sicilia
58%
42%
Why
74"
Reach
Δ 6"
67"
26
Age
Δ 1y
28
13-7
Career record
Δ 3 pp
15-9
L1
Current streak
L2
3
UFC fights in our DB
3
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 1
Pepey: 3 sig / 0 TD ·
Sicilia: 11 sig / 1 TD
Godofredo Pepey
Sam Sicilia
40
Sig strikes landed
34
84
Sig strikes attempted
78
53
Total strikes landed
59
1.1
Takedowns landed
1.3
2.8
Takedowns attempted
3.9
0.20
Knockdowns
0.20
137s
Control time
163s
Method
Decision
45%
KO/TKO
26%
Submission
29%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L1
Godofredo Pepey
13-7
Career record
Height
67"
Reach
74"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
26
In our database
3 fights · 1-2
Last 3
L
UFC on FUEL TV: Nogueira vs. We…
—
W
UFC on FX: Belfort vs Bisping
—
L
UFC 147: Silva vs Franklin 2
—
Blue corner
L2
Sam Sicilia
15-9
Career record
Height
68"
Reach
67"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
28
In our database
3 fights · 1-2
Last 3
L
The Ultimate Fighter: Team Jone…
—
L
UFC 153: Silva vs Bonnar
—
W
The Ultimate Fighter: Live Fina…
—