Back to UFC Fight Night: Belfort vs Henderson 2
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Adriano Martins vs Daron Cruickshank

UFC Fight Night: Belfort vs Henderson 2 ·Goiania Arena
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Statlab take

baseline
Heavy favorite Confidence: High
Adriano Martins
Daron Cruickshank
80% 20%
Why
72"
Reach
72"
31
Age
Δ 2y
28
—
Current streak
W1
0
UFC fights in our DB
4

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
Submission · Round 2
Martins: 16 sig / 1 TD · Cruickshank: 8 sig / 0 TD
Adriano Martins
Daron Cruickshank
41
Sig strikes landed
41
97
Sig strikes attempted
103
53
Total strikes landed
56
0.8
Takedowns landed
1.1
2.3
Takedowns attempted
2.8
0.20
Knockdowns
0.30
89s
Control time
119s
Method
Decision
61%
KO/TKO
28%
Submission
12%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner

Adriano Martins

0-0
Career record
Height
70"
Reach
72"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
31
Blue corner
W1

Daron Cruickshank

"Detroit Superstar"
19-10 (1 NC)
Career record
Height
68"
Reach
72"
Stance
Switch
Age
28
In our database 4 fights · 3-1
Last 4
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W UFC on FOX: Henderson vs Diaz
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