Back to UFC Fight Night: Fight for the Troops 3
Prelims1 Women's Bantamweight

Amanda Nunes vs Germaine de Randamie

UFC Fight Night: Fight for the Troops 3 ·Fort Campbell
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Statlab take

baseline
Heavy favorite Confidence: High
Amanda Nunes
Germaine de Randamie
85% 15%
Why
69"
Reach
Δ 2"
71"
25
Age
Δ 4y
30
24-5
Career record
Δ 14 pp
11-5
W1
Current streak
W1
1
UFC fights in our DB
1

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 1
Nunes: 14 sig / 1 TD · de Randamie: 1 sig / 0 TD
Amanda Nunes
Germaine de Randamie
22
Sig strikes landed
13
47
Sig strikes attempted
35
49
Total strikes landed
30
2.2
Takedowns landed
0.5
4.0
Takedowns attempted
1.1
0.10
Knockdowns
0.00
225s
Control time
90s
Method
Decision
51%
KO/TKO
12%
Submission
38%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
W1

Amanda Nunes

"The Lioness"
24-5
Career record
Height
68"
Reach
69"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
25
In our database 1 fight · 1-0
Last 1
W UFC 163: Aldo vs Jung
—
Blue corner
W1

Germaine de Randamie

"The Iron Lady"
11-5
Career record
Height
69"
Reach
71"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
30
In our database 1 fight · 1-0
Last 1
W UFC on FOX: Johnson vs Moraga
—