Prelims1
Featherweight
Dennis Bermudez vs Steven Siler
UFC Fight Night: Fight for the Troops 3
·Fort Campbell
Statlab take
baseline
Toss-up
Confidence: High
Dennis Bermudez
Steven Siler
48%
52%
Why
66"
Reach
Δ 4"
70"
27
Age
Δ 0y
27
18-9
Career record
Δ 1 pp
30-16
W4
Current streak
W2
5
UFC fights in our DB
6
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Bermudez: 44 sig / 6 TD ·
Siler: 23 sig / 0 TD
Dennis Bermudez
Steven Siler
46
Sig strikes landed
45
116
Sig strikes attempted
112
72
Total strikes landed
62
2.3
Takedowns landed
0.6
5.2
Takedowns attempted
1.6
0.10
Knockdowns
0.20
229s
Control time
52s
Method
Decision
64%
KO/TKO
26%
Submission
10%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W4
Dennis Bermudez
"The Menace"
18-9
Career record
Height
66"
Reach
66"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
27
In our database
5 fights · 4-1
Last 5
W
UFC 160: Velasquez vs Silva 2
—
W
UFC 157: Rousey vs Carmouche
—
W
UFC 150: Henderson vs Edgar II
—
W
UFC on FOX: Diaz vs Miller
—
L
The Ultimate Fighter: Team Bisp…
—
Blue corner
W2
Steven Siler
"Super"
30-16
Career record
Height
71"
Reach
70"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
27
In our database
6 fights · 5-1
Last 5
W
UFC Fight Night: Shogun vs Sonn…
—
W
UFC 159: Jones vs Sonnen
—
L
UFC 154: St-Pierre vs Condit
—
W
UFC on FX: Maynard vs Guida
—
W
UFC on FX: Alves vs Kampmann
—