Back to UFC Fight Night: Fight for the Troops 3
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King Green vs James Krause

UFC Fight Night: Fight for the Troops 3 ·Fort Campbell
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Statlab take

baseline
Lean Confidence: High
King Green
James Krause
54% 46%
Why
71"
Reach
Δ 2"
74"
27
Age
Δ 0y
27
36-17-1
Career record
Δ 10 pp
29-9
W1
Current streak
W1
1
UFC fights in our DB
1

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 1
Green: 20 sig / 0 TD · Krause: 22 sig / 0 TD
King Green
James Krause
74
Sig strikes landed
93
163
Sig strikes attempted
166
88
Total strikes landed
110
1.5
Takedowns landed
1.2
6.6
Takedowns attempted
2.8
0.20
Knockdowns
0.10
192s
Control time
142s
Method
Decision
50%
KO/TKO
15%
Submission
35%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
W1

King Green

36-17-1 (1 NC)
Career record
Height
70"
Reach
71"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
27
In our database 1 fight · 1-0
Last 1
W UFC 156: Aldo vs Edgar
—
Blue corner
W1

James Krause

"The"
29-9
Career record
Height
74"
Reach
74"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
27
In our database 1 fight · 1-0
Last 1
W UFC 161: Evans vs Henderson
—