Back to UFC Fight Night: Fight for the Troops 3
Prelims1 Bantamweight

George Roop vs Francisco Rivera

UFC Fight Night: Fight for the Troops 3 ·Fort Campbell
Previous fight Next fight

Statlab take

baseline
Lean Confidence: High
George Roop
Francisco Rivera
53% 47%
Why
72"
Reach
Δ 2"
70"
32
Age
Δ 0y
32
16-13-1
Career record
Δ 10 pp
12-7
W2
Current streak
W2
6
UFC fights in our DB
4

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 2
Roop: 23 sig / 1 TD · Rivera: 27 sig / 0 TD
George Roop
Francisco Rivera
44
Sig strikes landed
46
114
Sig strikes attempted
108
57
Total strikes landed
54
0.8
Takedowns landed
0.6
2.6
Takedowns attempted
1.5
0.20
Knockdowns
0.40
120s
Control time
55s
Method
Decision
46%
KO/TKO
38%
Submission
16%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
W2

George Roop

16-13-1
Career record
Height
73"
Reach
72"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
32
In our database 6 fights · 3-3
Last 5
W UFC 160: Velasquez vs Silva 2
—
W UFC 158: St-Pierre vs Diaz
—
L UFC on FOX: Evans vs Davis
—
L UFC 137: Penn vs Diaz
—
W The Ultimate Fighter: Team Lesn…
—
Blue corner
W2

Francisco Rivera

"Cisco"
12-7 (1 NC)
Career record
Height
68"
Reach
70"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
32
In our database 4 fights · 2-1
Last 3
W UFC 156: Aldo vs Edgar
—
W UFC on FUEL TV: Korean Zombie v…
—
L The Ultimate Fighter: Team Lesn…
—