Main
Women's Bantamweight
Liz Carmouche vs Alexis Davis
UFC Fight Night: Fight for the Troops 3
·Fort Campbell
Statlab take
baseline
Lean
Confidence: High
Liz Carmouche
Alexis Davis
46%
54%
Why
66"
Reach
Δ 2"
68"
30
Age
Δ 1y
29
14-7
Career record
Δ 0 pp
22-11
W1
Current streak
W1
2
UFC fights in our DB
1
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Carmouche: 43 sig / 1 TD ·
Davis: 50 sig / 1 TD
Liz Carmouche
Alexis Davis
23
Sig strikes landed
33
49
Sig strikes attempted
67
58
Total strikes landed
73
1.3
Takedowns landed
1.3
3.6
Takedowns attempted
2.0
0.00
Knockdowns
0.10
173s
Control time
229s
Method
Decision
77%
KO/TKO
8%
Submission
15%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W1
Liz Carmouche
"Girlrilla"
14-7
Career record
Height
66"
Reach
66"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
30
In our database
2 fights · 1-1
Last 2
W
UFC on FOX: Johnson vs Moraga
—
L
UFC 157: Rousey vs Carmouche
—
Blue corner
W1
Alexis Davis
22-11
Career record
Height
66"
Reach
68"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
29
In our database
1 fight · 1-0
Last 1
W
UFC 161: Evans vs Henderson
—