Main
Middleweight
Ronny Markes vs Yoel Romero
UFC Fight Night: Fight for the Troops 3
·Fort Campbell
Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Ronny Markes
Yoel Romero
83%
17%
Why
75"
Reach
Δ 2"
74"
26
Age
Δ 11y
36
18-5
Career record
Δ 5 pp
14-5
W3
Current streak
W1
3
UFC fights in our DB
1
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 3
Markes: 18 sig / 2 TD ·
Romero: 50 sig / 0 TD
Ronny Markes
Yoel Romero
19
Sig strikes landed
17
50
Sig strikes attempted
39
29
Total strikes landed
28
1.4
Takedowns landed
0.7
3.5
Takedowns attempted
1.9
0.20
Knockdowns
0.10
155s
Control time
287s
Method
Decision
12%
KO/TKO
69%
Submission
19%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W3
Ronny Markes
18-5
Career record
Height
73"
Reach
75"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
26
In our database
3 fights · 3-0
Last 3
W
UFC on FX: Belfort vs Bisping
—
W
UFC on FUEL TV: Sanchez vs Elle…
—
W
UFC Live: Hardy vs Lytle
—
Blue corner
W1
Yoel Romero
"Soldier of God"
14-5
Career record
Height
72"
Reach
74"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
37
In our database
1 fight · 1-0
Last 1
W
UFC on FOX: Henderson vs Melend…
—