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Rosi Sexton vs Jessica Andrade

UFC Fight Night: Machida vs Munoz ·Manchester Arena
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Statlab take

baseline
Clear edge Confidence: High
Rosi Sexton
Jessica Andrade
35% 65%
Why
36
Age
Δ 14y
22
13-6
Career record
Δ 7 pp
26-16
L1
Current streak
L1
1
UFC fights in our DB
1

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Sexton: 88 sig / 1 TD · Andrade: 206 sig / 1 TD
Rosi Sexton
Jessica Andrade
28
Sig strikes landed
27
49
Sig strikes attempted
67
71
Total strikes landed
49
2.4
Takedowns landed
1.9
5.0
Takedowns attempted
2.2
0.00
Knockdowns
0.40
360s
Control time
125s
Method
Decision
38%
KO/TKO
25%
Submission
37%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
L1

Rosi Sexton

"The Surgeon"
13-6
Career record
Height
63"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
36
In our database 1 fight · 0-1
Last 1
L UFC 161: Evans vs Henderson
—
Blue corner
L1

Jessica Andrade

"Bate Estaca"
26-16
Career record
Height
61"
Reach
62"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
22
In our database 1 fight · 0-1
Last 1
L UFC on FOX: Johnson vs Moraga
—