Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Josh Barnett
Travis Browne
85%
15%
Why
78"
Reach
Δ 1"
79"
36
Age
Δ 5y
32
36-8
Career record
Δ 11 pp
19-7-1
W1
Current streak
W2
1
UFC fights in our DB
8
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 1
Barnett: 5 sig / 0 TD ·
Browne: 12 sig / 0 TD
Josh Barnett
Travis Browne
19
Sig strikes landed
17
35
Sig strikes attempted
44
31
Total strikes landed
23
0.4
Takedowns landed
0.6
1.7
Takedowns attempted
1.5
0.30
Knockdowns
0.20
88s
Control time
97s
Method
Decision
19%
KO/TKO
66%
Submission
15%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W1
Josh Barnett
"The Warmaster"
36-8
Career record
Height
75"
Reach
78"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
36
In our database
1 fight · 1-0
Last 1
W
UFC 164: Henderson vs Pettis 2
—
Blue corner
W2
Travis Browne
"Hapa"
19-7-1
Career record
Height
78"
Reach
79"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
32
In our database
8 fights · 6-1
Last 5
W
UFC Fight Night: Shogun vs Sonn…
—
W
The Ultimate Fighter: Team Jone…
—
L
UFC on FX: Browne vs Bigfoot
—
W
UFC 145: Jones vs Evans
—
W
UFC 135: Jones vs Rampage
—