🏆 Title fight
Main
Women's Bantamweight
Ronda Rousey vs Miesha Tate
UFC 168: Weidman vs Silva 2
·MGM Grand Garden Arena
Statlab take
baseline
Clear edge
Confidence: High
Ronda Rousey
Miesha Tate
64%
36%
Why
66"
Reach
Δ 1"
65"
27
Age
Δ 0y
27
13-2
Career record
Δ 22 pp
20-11
W1
Current streak
L1
1
UFC fights in our DB
1
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Submission · Round 3
Rousey: 40 sig / 6 TD ·
Tate: 24 sig / 1 TD
Ronda Rousey
Miesha Tate
38
Sig strikes landed
20
61
Sig strikes attempted
45
72
Total strikes landed
51
2.1
Takedowns landed
1.2
3.6
Takedowns attempted
2.0
0.10
Knockdowns
0.10
253s
Control time
186s
Method
Decision
34%
KO/TKO
22%
Submission
44%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W1
Ronda Rousey
"Rowdy"
13-2
Career record
Height
67"
Reach
66"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
27
In our database
1 fight · 1-0
Last 1
W
UFC 157: Rousey vs Carmouche
—
Blue corner
L1
Miesha Tate
"Cupcake"
20-11
Career record
Height
66"
Reach
65"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
27
In our database
1 fight · 0-1
Last 1
L
The Ultimate Fighter: Team Jone…
—