🏆 Title fight
Main
Middleweight
Chris Weidman vs Anderson Silva
UFC 168: Weidman vs Silva 2
·MGM Grand Garden Arena
Statlab take
baseline
Edge
Confidence: High
Chris Weidman
Anderson Silva
42%
58%
Why
78"
Reach
Δ 1"
77"
30
Age
Δ 9y
39
17-8
Career record
Δ 6 pp
34-12
W6
Current streak
L1
6
UFC fights in our DB
7
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 2
Weidman: 20 sig / 1 TD ·
Silva: 8 sig / 0 TD
Chris Weidman
Anderson Silva
29
Sig strikes landed
29
73
Sig strikes attempted
54
40
Total strikes landed
30
1.0
Takedowns landed
0.0
3.4
Takedowns attempted
0.2
0.20
Knockdowns
0.30
175s
Control time
25s
Method
Decision
16%
KO/TKO
73%
Submission
11%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W6
Chris Weidman
"The All-American"
17-8
Career record
Height
74"
Reach
78"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
30
In our database
6 fights · 6-0
Last 5
W
UFC 162: Silva vs Weidman
—
W
UFC on FUEL TV: Munoz vs Weidman
—
W
UFC on FOX: Evans vs Davis
—
W
UFC 139: Shogun vs Henderson
—
W
UFC 131: Dos Santos vs Carwin
—
Blue corner
L1
Anderson Silva
"The Spider"
34-12
(1 NC)
Career record
Height
74"
Reach
77"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
39
In our database
7 fights · 6-1
Last 5
L
UFC 162: Silva vs Weidman
—
W
UFC 153: Silva vs Bonnar
—
W
UFC 148: Silva vs Sonnen 2
—
W
UFC 134: Silva vs Okami
—
W
UFC 126: Silva vs Belfort
—